中国沿海海洋站GNSS坐标时间序列噪声模型的建立与分析     

金波文  王慧  刘玉龙  邓丽静  吕江华 《大地测量与地球动力学》2020,40(5):476-481

选取中国沿海海洋站中与验潮室并址的22个GNSS基准站近9 a的观测资料,利用最大似然估计法分析各站时间序列的噪声特性,建立最优噪声模型;然后顾及有色噪声,利用最优噪声模型估计测站速度,并与纯白噪声模型和GLOBK获取的速度及误差进行对比分析。结果表明：1）沿海海洋站的GNSS时间序列均含有有色噪声,各分量的噪声特性不完全一致,E方向和U分量均以白噪声+闪烁噪声为主,N分量以白噪声+闪烁噪声和白噪声+一阶马尔科夫噪声+随机漫步噪声为主。2）全国沿海3个海区N、E分量的白噪声和闪烁噪声基本呈现越往南噪声越大的规律,南海海区U分量的白噪声和闪烁噪声最大。3）顾及有色噪声的速度中误差是仅考虑白噪声和GLOBK估计的速度中误差估计值的5～10倍,这种差异比内陆观测站的要大。4）在对海洋站GNSS时间序列进行速度分析时,为获取正确的速度值,应该先准确判断噪声的类型,再顾及有色噪声的影响估计测站速度。  相似文献   

长基线时间序列季节项提取和重构方法分析     

吉长东  张萌  沈祎凡 《大地测量与地球动力学》2020,40(8):818-821

运用经验模态分解（EMD）、集合经验模态分解（EEMD）和完备总体经验模态分解（CEEMD）3种方法对原始基线时间序列进行分解,得到各自时间序列的本征函数模态分量（IMF）、相关系数及周期性强度,进而确定其季节项分量,同时通过比较季节项和原始基线时间序列的叠加功率谱图优选分解方法。结果表明,CEEMD方法对基线时间序列季节项提取和重构效果最佳。  相似文献   

深度学习预测GPS时间序列在探索门源M_S6.4地震前兆中的应用     

陈善鹏  尹玲  梁诗明  胡向阳  余小燕 《大地测量与地球动力学》2020,40(12):1248-1253

以2016-01-21门源M_S6.4地震为例,提出用深度学习预测的GPS时间序列研究地震前兆。用震中附近门源台（QHME）、民乐台（GSML）及古浪台（GSGL）无震时的GPS时间序列训练LSTM神经网络,得到高精度的GPS时间序列预测模型,再分别对该地区无震时和地震前一段时间的GPS时间序列进行回溯性预测。对比预测时间序列与真实时间序列发现,震前2条时间序列大部分的相似性指标比无震时低,说明震前预测时间序列与真实时间序列差异明显,同时考虑震前时间序列的趋势异常,认为出现了异常时段;3个台站分别在E、N、U方向出现多个异常日期,且不同台站具有相同的异常日期,说明探索到了地震前兆。  相似文献   

Impacts of Increasing Model Resolutions and Shortening Forecast Lead Times on QPFs in South China During the Rainy Season     

张旭斌  李静珊  罗亚丽  宝兴华  陈靖扬  肖辉  文秋实 《热带气象学报(英文版)》2023,29(3):277-300

This study investigated the impacts of increasing model resolutions and shortening forecast lead times on the quantitative precipitation forecast(QPF) for heavy-rainfall events over south China during the rainy seasons in 2013–2020.The control experiment, where the analysis-forecast cycles run with model resolutions of about 3 km, was compared to a lower-resolution experiment with model resolutions of about 9 km, and a longer-term experiment activated 12 hours earlier. Rainfall forecasting in th...  相似文献   

中国大陆第四纪地壳运动时程   总被引：5，自引：0，他引：5  

冯希杰 《地质论评》1992,38(3):210-214

本文从中国大陆有代表性的青藏高原、黄土高原、三峡地区着手,进行了新构造运动剖析。并结合全国火山活动期次,总结出中国大陆第四纪地壳运动的时程变化。从而为进一步探讨新构造运动特点和规律,为国民经济建设及人类生存环境提供了一定的地质背景资料。  相似文献   

科技管理兼盈——纪念程裕淇院士诞辰110周年     

耿元生 《地质学报》2022,96(9):2955-2966

程裕淇院士是我国著名的变质岩石学家、矿床学家和前寒武纪地质学家。中国科学院学部委员(院士)，中国人民政治协商会议第四届、第五届全国委员会委员，第六届、第七届全国政协常务委员会委员。程裕淇先生开拓了我国变质岩研究领域，提出了矿床成矿系列理论，发展了我国前寒武纪地质学。他在管理上积极推进地质行业的对外开放，促进国际合作交流，为建立中央直属的野战军队伍建言献策；在政协多次提案，推动了我国矿产资源法的立法和实施。  相似文献   

随钻测录井地质导向二维分解实时绘图方法     

邵才瑞  原野  张福明  陈国兴  曹先军 《吉林大学学报(地球科学版)》2021,51(1):256-265

根据随钻测录井实时地质导向和大斜度、水平井评价成图技术需求，针对传统绘图方法存在的弊端，提出了将测录井信息、井眼轨迹和地质模型进行二维分解的实时绘图方法。针对二维分解绘图方法绘图时空复杂度较高的问题，给出了不同事件驱动下的局部实时计算和拷屏重绘算法，控制了对CPU和内存的消耗、提高了绘图效率，消除了实时绘图的闪烁和卡顿现象。应用实例表明，二维分解实时绘图方法能够实现大尺度随钻测录井地质导向图形的流畅、无卡顿实时绘图，可提高大斜度、水平井储层模型评价的刻画精度和时效。  相似文献   

Predicting ground-motion variations at the Turkey-flat test site,California     

J. Zahradník  J. Jech  V. Barták 《Pure and Applied Geophysics》1991,137(1-2):63-84

Results of a single group participating in an international experiment are analyzed. The experiment served to verify computational predictions of the ground-motion variations due to near-surface geological effects at a site established for that purpose by the California Department of Conservation. Based on an acceleration record at a rock location, and geotechnical model of medium, records at the other locations of a nearby sedimentary deposit were predicted. A 2-D finite-difference sensitivity analysis suggested that the lateral wave-propagation effects are negligibly small, and locally 1-D computations are sufficient for the present site. Those computations are compared with observations not available to the authors during the blind prediction. Peak accelerations, peak velocities and RMS accelerations were predicted with errors less than 159%, 114% and 62%, respectively. Maxima of the response spectra were fitted within a factor of 2. The predicted and observed Husid's plots (i.e., the normalized cumulative plots of the acceleration squared) have the correlation coefficients 0.98. The detected misfits do not show any simple relation to the instrument location, component, frequency, or time.  相似文献   

System for normalization of a hamiltonian function based on lie series     

Krzysztof Gozdziewski  Andrzej J. Maciejewski 《Celestial Mechanics and Dynamical Astronomy》1990,49(1):1-10

A software system for normalization of a Hamiltonian function is described. A few examples of its applications are given. It is written in PASCAL and runs on an IBM XT/AT with 640 KB memory.  相似文献   

Timing effects on the fragmentation of small scale blocks of granodiorite     

P. D. Katsabanis  A. Tawadrous  C. Braun  C. Kennedy 《Fragblast: International Journal for Blasting and Fragmentation》2006,10(1):83-93

A series of small scale tests, simulating multi-hole blasts have been performed to establish the effect of delays on blast fragmentation. The blasts were performed in high quality granodiorite blocks, which were cut from stone prepared by dimensional stone quarry operations. The pattern used was equilateral triangular, with a distance of 10.2 cm between boreholes, which had a diameter of 11 mm, were loaded with detonating cord and the coupling medium was water. The delays used were achieved using different lengths of detonating cord for the cases of delays between 0 and 100 μs between holes and a sequential blasting machine firing seismic detonators for larger delays up to 4 ms. All fragments were collected and screened. The experiments showed that the worst fragmentation was achieved with simultaneous initiation of all charges. Fragmentation improved with the delay time between holes up to 1 ms between holes. If the experiments are scaled up, the results show that in granodiorite, fragmentation optimization requires delays of few milliseconds per metre of burden. The findings, agree with previously published work, involving larger scale experiments and other rock types.  相似文献